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The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

by David Spiegelhalter
Compare to estimated retail price: S$36.27  

The item you've got your eye on is secondhand. You probably already know that, but just in case!

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The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

Mastering life's unpredictability with data-driven wisdom.

If you've ever felt overwhelmed by the unknown, Spiegelhalter's "The Art of Uncertainty" could be your guide to clarity. By translating complex probabilities into everyday scenarios, this book might just change how you weigh risks and embrace chance. It's a thought-provoking read, especially if you appreciate a balance between theoretical insights and practical advice.

Note: While we do our best to ensure the accuracy of cover images, ISBNs may at times be reused for different editions of the same title which may hence appear as a different cover.

The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

by David Spiegelhalter
Compare to estimated retail price: S$36.27  

The item you've got your eye on is secondhand. You probably already know that, but just in case!

The estimated retail price shown next to any listed item represents the first-hand prices we've seen elsewhere, or the estimated original retail price of a comparable item of the same quality, construction and material offered elsewhere in new condition.

Condition guide

Book Condition Guide

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This book may contain very minor cosmetic defects, but it is in pristine condition. There should be no yellowing, no foxing, no water damage, and no annotations of any kind on the cover and the pages. For paperbacks, there should not be any crease marks on the spine. This book is good as new — lucky you!

*Books may be missing bundle media (e.g. CD, e-book code), if included.

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*Books may be missing bundle media (e.g. CD, e-book code), if included.

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Books in Well Read Condition

This is a well-read book, which means that the previous owner probably really enjoyed it! The cover and pages may include moderate foxing and annotations, but the text is not obscured and still readable. Moderate cosmetic defects and minor water damage may be present on the edges of the book. For paperbacks, there may be multiple crease marks on the spine.

*Books may be missing bundle media (e.g. CD, e-book code), if included.

 

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ISBN: 9780241658628
Authors: David Spiegelhalter
Publisher: Pelican
Date of Publication: 2024-09-19
Format: Hardcover
Related Collections: Business, Personal Development, Economics, Science
Related Topics: Self Help, Personal Development, Finance, Business, Personal Development, Psychology, Finance, Mathematics, Psychology
Goodreads rating: 3.87
(rated by 331 readers)

Description

From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty. Life is uncertain. We are all the result of an unforeseen and unforeseeable sequence of small occurrences. But what underlies this fragile chain of events? Is it random or just complex? And what role does luck play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career crunching data in order to help understand uncertainty and assess the chances of what might happen. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. Uncertainty, he argues, is a relationship between the observer and an object in the outside world. He shows us how we can express it numerically, and then update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. In crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, a field that informs everything from annuities to pandemics and climate change, while also examining the limitations of statistical modelling and arguing we need to have the humility to admit our ignorance. Drawing on a wide range of real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty in a world that makes it inevitable.
 

Mastering life's unpredictability with data-driven wisdom.

If you've ever felt overwhelmed by the unknown, Spiegelhalter's "The Art of Uncertainty" could be your guide to clarity. By translating complex probabilities into everyday scenarios, this book might just change how you weigh risks and embrace chance. It's a thought-provoking read, especially if you appreciate a balance between theoretical insights and practical advice.

Note: While we do our best to ensure the accuracy of cover images, ISBNs may at times be reused for different editions of the same title which may hence appear as a different cover.