Learning and Expectations in Macroeconomics

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Macroeconomic dynamics through expectation and learning.

If you're intrigued by the psychological drivers of economic behavior, this book offers a deep dive into expectations and learning in economics. George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring rigorous analysis to the table, making it an enlightening read for anyone studying or interested in the complexities of macroeconomic theory and the practical functioning of economies.

Note: While we do our best to ensure the accuracy of cover images, ISBNs may at times be reused for different editions of the same title which may hence appear as a different cover.

Learning and Expectations in Macroeconomics

Regular price $43.90
Unit price
per
Compare to estimated retail price: S$124.90  
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ISBN: 9780691049212
Date of Publication: 2001-02-01
Format: Hardcover
Related Collections: Economics
Related Topics: Finance, Society, Sociology
Goodreads rating: 4.2
(rated by 5 readers)

Description

A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity. Inflation, asset prices, exchange rates, investment, and consumption are just some of the economic variables that are largely explained by expectations. Here George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring new explanatory power to a variety of expectation formation models by focusing on the learning factor. Whereas the rational expectations paradigm offers the prevailing method to determining expectations, it assumes very theoretical knowledge on the part of economic actors. Evans and Honkapohja contribute to a growing body of research positing that households and firms learn by making forecasts using observed data, updating their forecast rules over time in response to errors. This book is the first systematic development of the new statistical learning approach. Depending on the particular economic structure, the economy may converge to a standard rational-expectations or a "rational bubble" solution, or exhibit persistent learning dynamics. The learning approach also provides tools to assess the importance of new models with expectational indeterminacy, in which expectations are an independent cause of macroeconomic fluctuations. Moreover, learning dynamics provide a theory for the evolution of expectations and selection between alternative equilibria, with implications for business cycles, asset price volatility, and policy. This book provides an authoritative treatment of this emerging field, developing the analytical techniques in detail and using them to synthesize and extend existing research.
 

Macroeconomic dynamics through expectation and learning.

If you're intrigued by the psychological drivers of economic behavior, this book offers a deep dive into expectations and learning in economics. George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring rigorous analysis to the table, making it an enlightening read for anyone studying or interested in the complexities of macroeconomic theory and the practical functioning of economies.

Note: While we do our best to ensure the accuracy of cover images, ISBNs may at times be reused for different editions of the same title which may hence appear as a different cover.